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Engineering Trends
 
 
 REPORT 0705C - JULY 2005

Master's Enrollments Declining and Doctoral Enrollment Growth Fading - Discipline Enrollments Not Following Overall Engineering Trends

 

Introduction

Master's and doctoral full-time enrollments experienced minima in Fall 1998 and Fall 1997, respectively, and increased significantly thereafter. Master's enrollments reached annual record levels beginning in Fall 2000; doctoral enrollment records began in Fall 2001.

Full-time master's enrollments decreased substantially (7.4%) in Fall 2004 following the previous year's limited growth (0.6%). Full-time doctoral enrollments increased by 7.7% in Fall 2001, 14.6% in Fall 2002 and 12.6% in Fall 2003. The increase in Fall 2004 was only 3.9%.

This report considers the current master's and doctoral enrollment trends for seventeen engineering disciplines including "computer" which is mainly the total of computer engineering and computer science. Emphasis is given to both enrollments and relative enrollments (fractions of engineering as a whole). The latter provides student preference information for the present era where graduate enrollments are changing significantly.

Master's Enrollments and Relative Enrollments - Larger Engineering Disciplines

Master's enrollments and relative enrollments for the nine larger disciplines are shown in the two graphs below. Enrollments for "computer" and industrial engineering have decreased since Fall 2002 (16.2% and 24.8%, respectively); electrical and mechanical engineering

decreased in Fall 2004 (14.6% and 8.3%, respectively). Declines in these four disciplines combined exceeded slightly that of engineering as a whole since Fall 2002. The slow, long-term decline in chemical engineering master's enrollments has continued.

Aerospace, bioeng/biomedical and civil engineering continued their long-term master's enrollment growth in Fall 2004. Aerospace engineering has increased 118% since Fall 1996; bioeng/biomedical has increased 175% since Fall 1995; civil engineering has increased 34% since Fall 1999.

Management engineering enrollments which doubled from Fall 1991 through Fall 2002 now appear to be constant.

Relative enrollments in the graph above indicate that student preferences for individual disciplines are not as marked as shown by master's enrollment data.

Master's Enrollments and Relative Enrollments - Smaller Engineering Disciplines

The two graphs below provide full-time enrollment data in the eight smaller engineering disciplines. Manufacturing, mining/geological, petroleum and systems engineering have had slight enrollment declines in recent years. Materials engineering which had slight enrollment increases since Fall 1998 had a significant decline in Fall 2004. Enrollments in environmental and marine/naval engineering are now constant after extended periods of decline. Nuclear engineering is the only discipline in this group of eight that is undergoing enrollment growth at the present time.

As was the situation with the nine larger disciplines, the relative enrollments shown in the graph above appear somewhat tempered compared to total full-time enrollments. However, the relative enrollment trends are similar to those of enrollments as described previously.

Doctoral Enrollments and Relative Enrollments - Larger Engineering Disciplines

Total full-time doctoral enrollments in the nine larger disciplines shown in the graph below are increasing. However, the growth rates for "computer", chemical, civil, electrical and mechanical engineering have declined noticeably in the last year or two.

Bioeng/medical engineering has grown substantially in recent years (192% since Fall 1995 and 110% since Fall 2000). The trend for this discipline appears to be such that in just a few years its enrollments will exceed those of materials and, possibly, civil engineering. Aerospace, industrial and materials engineering continue to exhibit slowly increasing full-time doctoral enrollments.

Relative enrollments shown in the graph below for these nine disciplines generally indicate only modest variations since Fall 1985. Chemical, civil, electrical, materials and mechanical engineering show slight, but continued, long-term declines. Aerospace engineering has ended a period of decline and "computer" has ended a period of substantial growth.

Bioeng/biomedical engineering has continued to undergo increased relative enrollment growth and in the last few years the rate of growth has increased significantly. Industrial engineering continues to grow very slowly in relative enrollment.

Doctoral Enrollments and Relative Enrollments - Smaller Engineering Disciplines

The long-term doctoral enrollment growth in environmental and nuclear engineering has continued. Petroleum and systems engineering enrollments have grown since Fall 2002. Management, marine/naval and mining/geological engineering enrollments have been constant since Fall 2001. Manufacturing engineering enrollments have continued to decline since the maximum in Fall 2000.

The long-term relative enrollments declines of environmental, nuclear, petroleum and systems engineering have ended. These disciplines have all undergone slow relative enrollment growth in the last year or two.

Management, manufacturing, marine/naval and mining/geological engineering continue to experience significant annual relative enrollment declines.

Summary

Full-time master's enrollments in engineering declined substantially in Fall 2004. "Computer", electrical, industrial and mechanical also declined significantly. The combined decreases in these four disciplines exceeded the overall engineering decline. Aerospace, bioeng/biomedical and civil engineering continued their long-term master's enrollment growth trends.

Full-time doctoral enrollment growth for engineering continued in Fall 2004, but at a rate substantially less than in past years. "Computer", chemical, civil, electrical and mechanical engineering also experienced reduced enrollment growth rates in Fall 2004. Bioeng/biomedical engineering continued its substantial, long-term growth trend and has shown significantly increased enrollment growth rates since Fall 2000. Aerospace, industrial and materials engineering have continued their long-term enrollment growth trends, but the growth rates have been low.

Acknowledgments

The undergraduate and graduate enrollment data used in this study originated from the annual surveys of the Engineering Workforce Commission of the American Association of Engineering Societies. Engineering Trends acknowledges the efforts of this organization in providing credible data and expresses its gratitude for their services to the engineering profession. Persons seeking further information about their surveys and the availability of survey data should visit the AAES/EWC Web site (www.aaes.org).

Footnotes

Engineering Trends data are compiled mainly from information submitted by universities to the annual surveys of EWC and ASEE. On the very rare occasions where errors in data appear, Engineering Trends corrects the error, if possible, or deletes the data if the error is large enough to alter significantly the trend of the university or the US total.