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Engineering Trends Quarterly Newsletter - Fall 2004

Recipient Name:

Newsletter Contents

Synopses of New Reports in Inside Engineering Education on the Engineering Trends Web site  http://engtrends.com

1. “Variations in Engineering Discipline Enrollments – Good and Bad News”
2. "Undergraduate Engineering Gender and Ethnicity Enrollment Trends – Some Good News, But Mostly
    Bad News”
3. “Master’s and Doctoral Engineering Enrollment Trends for Women and Various Ethnic Groups”
4. “Total Numbers of Bachelor’s, Master’s and Doctoral Degrees per Million Population Since AY1945-46 -
    Including Data for Degrees Awarded to US Citizens Since AY1970-71”

New Pages on the Engineering Trends Web Site

1.
Quarterly Newsletter Archive
2.
Degrees Since 1945

New Studies Underway at Engineering Trends

1. "Entry of Women and Ethnic Minority Groups Into Academic Faculty Positions"
2. "A Progress Report on the Growth of Engineering Degrees Awarded to Undergraduate and Graduate
    Students"

Services to Search Committees and Applicants

Guest Editorials - New Contributors and Their Contributions

New Benefit for Engineering Trends Members

Synopses of New Reports in Inside Engineering Education on the Engineering Trends Web Site

Variations in Engineering Discipline Enrollments - Good and Bad News

Total engineering full-time undergraduate enrollments are expected to reach a maximum in Fall 2004. Degrees should reach a maximum (and a new record) in AY2006-07. This study focused on full-time enrollment trends since AY1975-76 in seventeen engineering disciplines. Only eight disciplines (aerospace, bio-/biomedical, civil, electrical, mechanical, nuclear, petroleum and systems engineering) currently have increasing enrollments. Increases in relative enrollments (fraction of engineering as a whole) are currently occurring in only six of these disciplines (aerospace, bio-/biomedical, mechanical, nuclear, petroleum and systems engineering).

Undergraduate Engineering Gender and Ethnicity Enrollment Trends - Some Good News, But Mostly Bad News

The relative first-year and full-time enrollments (fraction of engineering as a whole) of women have declined since Fall 1995 and Fall 1998, respectively. This decline has now resulted in annual decreases in the number of first-year enrollments since Fall 2000 and full-time enrollments since Fall 2002.

Declines in relative first-year and full-time enrollments of African American students began in Fall 1993 and Fall 1996, respectively, and have resulted in declines in both first-year and full-time enrollments beginning in Fall 2002. More recently, Asian American enrollments have begun to follow this pattern. On the other hand, Hispanic American enrollments continue to increase and relative enrollments (both first-year and full-time) set new records in Fall 2003.

Master's and Doctoral Engineering Enrolment Trends for Women and Various Ethnic Groups

Full-time master's degree enrollments for women appear to have become constant and relative enrollments (fractions of engineering as a whole) are now undergoing slight annual declines. Doctoral enrollments, including relative enrollments, continue to increase according to the trends established previously.

Asian American full-time master's degree enrollments and relative enrollments, continue to follow past rapid growth trends. African and Hispanic American enrollments also continue past growth trends as well, but their relative enrollments continue to decline.

Doctoral full-time enrollments for Asian, African and Hispanic Americans continue to increase, with Asian American enrollment growth being substantial. However, in terms of relative enrollments, only data for Asian American doctoral students continue to increase.

Total Numbers of Bachelor's, Master's and Doctoral Degrees per Million Population Since AY1945-46 - Including Data for Degrees awarded to US Citizens Since AY1970-71

Undergraduate degrees in engineering have increased by about 350% since the late 1940s. However, relative to population growth over the last six decades, bachelor's degrees have only doubled.

Master's and doctoral degrees have increased by seven and twelve times, respectively, since AY1950-51. Relative to population growth, these increases have been substantial as well. However, considering only graduate degrees awarded to US citizens relative to population growth, master's degrees show minimal long-term growth and doctoral degrees have remained essentially constant.

New Pages on the Engineering Trends Web Site

Quarterly Newsletter Archive

Engineering Trend's Quarterly Newsletters, sent via e-mail, provide reviews of our recent research reports, descriptions of ongoing research, listings of recent guest editorials and general information about Web site updates and additions. These Newsletters will now be archived on the Web site to accommodate visitors who do not receive them regularly. Of course, we welcome additions to our mailing list.

Degrees Awarded Since 1945

This new page was initiated in the Summer 2004 and presents data in graphical format on undergraduate and graduate engineering degrees awarded by US universities since 1945. Data for ethnicity, gender and foreign nationals are also included. Engineering Trends will update these graphs as new data become available in order to provide a current, long-term resource.

Graphs of degree data for eleven engineering disciplines are presented as well (aerospace, bio- and biomedical, chemical, civil, computer (including computer science), electrical, environmental, materials, mechanical, nuclear and petroleum engineering). These graphs include gender and foreign national data.

A new Engineering Trends report (October 2004) considers the changes in undergraduate and graduate degrees awarded in the US relative to US population growth since 1945. Additional information on this report appears in another section of this Newsletter.

New Studies Underway at Engineering Trends

Entry of Women and Ethnic Minority Groups Into Academic Faculty Positions

Considerable attention has been given to increasing the numbers of women and members of minority groups in faculty positions in engineering colleges. Engineering Trends is addressing this matter by comparing doctorates awarded to the number of faculty appointments. The main focus is on the comparison of the number of assistant professors in a given year to the number of doctorates awarded in the prior period of five to seven years. The overall goal is to determine whether the "rate-limiting step" is in the awarding of doctorates or in attraction doctorates to academic positions.

A Progress Report on the Growth of Engineering Degrees Awarded to Undergraduate and Graduate Students

Bachelor's degrees have been increasing annually since AY1998-99. With declining undergraduate enrollments, will the maximum in degrees predicted previously for AY2006-07 arrive on schedule and will the maximum exceed the previous record set in AY1985-86?

Master's and doctoral enrollments have been setting new records annually for several years. Master's degrees set a new record in AY2002-03, but enrollments in Fall 2003 increased very little. Doctoral degrees have shown little growth since AY1998-99 in spite of substantial enrollment growth. Are master's degrees about to decline and are doctoral degrees about to undergo a period of rapid growth?

Services to Search Committees and Applicants

Search committees for academic administration openings need information on the performance of applicants relative to achievements in prior administrative positions. Applicants need statistical information relative to prior trends of potential future employers. Such information does not provide a complete picture of either the open position or the overall accomplishments of a candidate. However, the availability of such information allows employment discussions to be focused on specifications set by the search committee and the desires and interests of individual candidates.

Engineering Trends can provide statistical data on candidate performance (based on employment history as listed in a candidate's resume) and organization trends. Please contact us for details. All contacts are held strictly confidential by Engineering Trends.

Guest Editorials - New Contributors and Their Contributions

The Editorials page on the Engineering Trends Web site continues to be a favorite of visitors. New guest editorials by leaders in engineering education are scheduled to appear monthly. Engineering Trends selects only the editorial writers; the topics are defined by the writers. Comments from site visitors as well as unsolicited guest editorials will be considered for inclusion on the site.

The following guest editorials have appeared recently:

June 2004 - "The Changing Face of Engineering", Dr. Paul S. Peercy, Dean, College of Engineering, University of Wisconsin, Madison

August 2004 - "Expanding the Pool of Engineering Students", Dr. Mohamed El-Aasser, Dean, P. C. Rossin College of Engineering and Applied Science, Lehigh University

September 2004 - "The Societal Responsibility of Engineering Educators", Dr. William A. Wulf, President, National Academy of Engineering

New Benefit for Engineering Trends Members

The new page on our Web site, Degrees Since 1945, was described earlier in this newsletter. The graphs of total numbers of bachelor's, master's and doctoral degrees awarded in the US will be accessible to all site visitors. Members of Engineering Trends will have access to all of the graphical data for engineering as a whole and eleven engineering disciplines.

(Questions have come to us as to whether "annual membership" refers to a specific year, e.g., 2004. Engineering Trends is using "annual" to refer to a membership that lasts for one year from the date of origination, not from the start of a new year.)

Can We Be of Assistance?

We would like to assist you in your planning activities and benchmarking studies. In addition, we welcome your suggestions of reports that you would like to see added to the Inside Engineering Education section of our Web site and reviewed in forthcoming newsletters. You may contact us via our Web site http://engtrends.com, by e-mail at news@engtrends.com and/or by phone (906) 482-1523. We look forward to working with you.

Sincerely,

Richard W. Heckel
Founder & Technical Director

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